Category Archives: Syria

Play Iranian Trump Card

Current negotiations with Iran over nuclear development issues can be an entry into involving Iran in a broader range of issues within the Middle East. People like Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fail to grasp that forging closer relations with Iran can lead to resolving many other issues. For example, current nations engaged in talks with Iran could suggest it use its influence with the Syrian government to halt air bombing of opposing areas within the country. If Iran could simply do this, it would provide evidence of its interest in a long term resolution of its conflict with other nations and the United Nations. Iran should be invited to serve on any negotiating committee that works with Syrians on ending the civil war. Iran has the potential to become an important player-alongside Israel, Egypt and Saudi Arabia–in creating a new Middle East. Remember:

1. Middle Eastern nations have large numbers of well educated people.

2. The Middle East has yet to become a factor in technology development.

3. A Middle Eastern Union-akin to the European Union, would transform this area into a new world center of innovation.

All nations benefit with the creation of a Middle Eastern Union.

After Assad Comes…???

Sergei Lavrov, Foreign Minister of Russia, shocked many observers by his recent comments concerning the question that is continually ignored, “what happens in Syria if President Bashar al-Assad is compelled to surrender power?” Which group or groups would then emerge to take over power and run the country? In other words, if Assad and his Alawites are compelled to give up power, would Islamists connected to al-Qaeda or other such extremist groups then emerge, seize power, and create a new civil war between those seeking an Islamist society and those desiring a more secular one? For those who have forgotten, the United States defeated secular ruler Saddam Hussein and brought into Iraq, the men of al-Qaeda who have transformed the country into a hell hole of violence and murder that makes difficult getting through a day without some bombing that leaves dozens killed or wounded.

So, what next for Syria? If Assad left tomorrow, there would be not one, but at least three civil wars, taking place in Syria. This is not to argue for retaining Assad, but to urge calm and thought concerning what happens if he decides to leave. Does anyone have any plans??

Syrian Fall Out

Civil war drags on and on in Syria but its impact on the entire region is spreading rather than declining. Lebanon is in turmoil and there are signs a new civil war can emerge in that nation. Hezbollah and other pro-Assad groups in Lebanon are engaging with Israel soldiers on their borders in ways that only spell disaster for their nation. An Israel soldier was killed by a sniper leading to retaliatory fire from Israel troops and in the end two Lebanese soldiers were dead. The Lebanese press claims the sniper finally reported back to base. It is also clear that at this point, no desire to escalate the situation is apparent on either side. However, danger still exists.

There are rogue elements in the Lebanese army who would love to escalate the situation in order to have a war. There are political forces within Israel who seek some excuse to escalate the situation which might result in the Israel Defense Force moving forward. Both Israel and Lebanon contain factions whose goal is war and conquest. West Bank settlers seek some excuse to drive out all Muslims from “their West Bank.” Hezbollah factions seek some excuse to rain down missiles on Israel in order to expand the Syrian civil war into a total war in the Middle East.

Syria Redeux Forever

Many Republican leaders in Congress such as Senator John McCain insist the Ogama administration should rush to the aid of rebel forces in Syria in order to assume leadership in the fight to end the regime of President Assad. Of course, there are many members of the Republican party who are ready to blast President Obama for doing what McCain wants. However, the American and English government announced they would not supply Syrian forces in rebellion with all “non-lethal” assistance after the newly formed Islamic Front took over facilities belonging to the Free Syrian Army’s Supreme Military Council, which is allied with the anti-Assad opposition National Coalition.

The Isalmic Front seized weapons including dozens of anti-aircraft and anti-tank rockets. The problem now is that Syria is divided every which way. Solution? Work with Iran as part of a comprehensive solution that will witness the exit of Assad along with guarantees that Islamic extremists are removed from obtaining power within the country.

Jesus Christ!

Historically, the nation we term, Syria, has been divided between religions for two thousand years begining with some Jews and then some Christians and finally, the Muslims came along to confuse the entire situation. As some will recall, about three years ago a rebellion broke out in Syria when those not satisfied with the government of President Assad took up arms-and other such weapons of war. Most Christians in Syria supported the Assad regime because they feared the rise of Islamic fundamentalists who, already have done an excellent job of driving Christians from Iraq. The prospect of an Islamic government just was not the goal of Christians who witnessed half the Christian population flee from Iraq.

Ordinarily, most folk sort of leave nuns alone. We were raised with films about singing nuns and nuns caring for the sick and teaching sweet little kids. So, what happens in Syria? Rebel fighters have seized 12nuns from a convent located in a Christian village. I have called Father O’Malley and he is ready to fly to Syria and use his wonderful Irish brogue out on the rebels. If I was the rebel force, I would flee for my life to avoid the anger of the good father.

God Speaks In Arabic?

Since the dawn of we humans there have been humans who have direct connections to the Big Guy up in the sky. For some reason, the man with a long white beard appears to favor some, over other humans. A new group in Syria made clear that, after consulting with God is ready to fix up Syria and create a government of the clerics, for the clerics and by the clerics. Of course, when they use the word, “cleric” it refers to someone of the Muslim faith. After extensive discussions around Heaven, only the dead are allowed to enter, a group of leaders from the Islamic Front are ready to establish a new Muslim style government. Since Parliaments and democracies allow anyone to run for public office or to serve in one, the new Islamic Front will derive its just powers from an Islamic council rather than from any sovereign or secualr authority such as “the people.”

Of course, the Islamic Front pledged to listen to the voices of those not Muslim. Beyond listen, it is unclear as to what is the purpose of non-Muslims speaking or making suggestions. After all, if one has God on his side, who else counts?

Long Fight Headed Nowhere

Wars have a way of beginning with great fervor and determination to destroy some nation of evil leader or idea that appears to propagate an idea which is either loved or hated. Time passes. People die, people grow fatigued about the idea which once sent them into streets shouting for an idea. As time passes, buildings are blown up, bodies accumulate, limbs are lost and people grow weary and hungry. In Syria there are numerous groups and organizations whose goal is not merely to drive out President Assad, but to ensure that your group takes over and can become the new dictator whose goal is to get rid of this faction or that faction regardless of cost to the average person. Month one was wonderful and offered great hope. Month ten offered the prospect of great victory. By month twenty or twenty four, it was clear that among your fellow supporters of victory were some who not only wanted victory over Assad but victory over fellow enemies of Assad.

Ahmnad Khaled told a reporter he had been tortured and fired from his job and now simply wanted a place where he could rest and work and lead some sort of normal life. Abu Firas told a reporter: “The ones who fight now are from the side of thieves.” He simply wants, not a piece of power, but peace.

Putin Vs Pope Francis

Vladimir Putin decided to make a trip to Italy and along the way did pay a call to Pope Francis. The Great Leader-I do not refer to the Pope–gave a picture of the Madonna to the pontiff, and then quickly exited the Vatican. He had more important people to see like his dear friend and bully, Silvio Berlusconi. The Great Leader did not issue an invitation to Pope Francis to visit his fair land. One suspects he did not wish to confront the problem of having to arrest and place in prison the head of the Catholic religion who has made kind remarks about gays and lesbians. The warm words expressed by the Pope concerning gays and lesbians would most probably result in jail time in russia.

Putin most probably did not enjoy what Pope Francis said about wealthy folk. He defined unfettered capitalism as “a new tyranny” and urged those with wealth to share with those without. I have a strange idea his words echoed the thoughts of Jesus Christ, you know, the radical communist from the Middle East. Flash: Sarah Palin urges loyal Americans to boycott Catholic churches, they are simply centers of terrorism against our dear beloved wealthy people.

Syria, Syria, Where Goest Thou?

Each day the figures grow more horrible as to the number of dead people in Syria or the destruction of homes and public facilities that provide food or water or electricity. The death of Abdukl Qadir Saleh of the Tahrid Brigade has demonstrated the inability of those fighting for or against the Assad regime, to weave their way through the maze of contesting groups bent on death and destruction. Saleh for a time attempted to persuade competing groups who seek to overthrow the Assad regime to cooperate in this endeavor. He definitely failed to achieve that aim. Al-Qaeda clashes with secular forces who clash with different secular forces who are in conflict with Muslim fundamentalist forces and so on. Most probably we have passed a point at which a certain form of cease fire might have been achieved and now are at a new point. Russia seeks to become the mediator of record whose goal is halting the current conflict.

However, although we might be at a point in which “halting” is possible, we are far, far from “ending the conflict.” No powerful mediating force is present in Syria. Most probably any solution would have to be obtained by powerful outside forces creating a compromise upon those fighting and using the weapon of denying aid to compel some form of compromise. In other words, President Assad is here for the immediate
future.

Death An Equal Oportunity Employer

The latest figures are in from the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights which includes hundreds of medical people who keep track of those who have been killed or wouonded during the current Syrian massacres. The new total is 120,296 human beings who are dead. The figures do not include those who have been physically or mentally damaged living through the horror that is Syria. At least 42,000 are civilians incuding 6000 children and 4200 women. About 25,000 rebel fighters are dead along with 48,000 loyalists in either the Syrian armed forces or defense brigades. So, what is the conclusion of this mass murder of people?

1. Conduct a civil war and a lot of civilians die.

2. Conduct a civil war and a lot of children die.

3. Conduct a civil war and people from every group of sect wind up dead.

4. We can never know how many were emotionally destroyed during a civil war.

DO NOT HAVE CIVIL WARS?