A new report indicates the number of attacks against US and coalition forces fell from 744 per week during the February- March to 744 during April to May, but casualties in killed and wounded rose from 22 to 25 per day. The report noted that anti-US Muslim cleric, Muqtada al-Sadr’s militia was the “de facto government of Sadr City.” Middle Eastern expert Wayne White said last year he recommended a surge of 64,000 troops but only felt with that number there was a 50/50 chance of success. He sees no hope of appreciable change by September.
September increasingly becomes an interesting moment in the saga of the Iraq war. Will George Bush announce the surge “worked” which will allow US troops to leave? Will he request additional troops? I would not put it past George Bush to cut and run as quickly as he can from his fiasco in Iraq by blaming failure to crush insurgents on lack of support from Democrats in Congress. In one way or another, the Democratic Party will be blamed for failure.