Tag Archives: Revolutionary Guards

Iran Drifts Toward Military Dictatorship?

Several years ago when American forces swept into Afghanistan the then president of Iran, Khatami, reached out to President Bush and offered an opportunity to resolve issues between his nation and the United States. Bush and his coterie of ignorant conservatives did not realize how negotiating with Iran could prove beneficial to the world and respond with his famous speech describing Iran as part of the “axis of evil.” We live with the consequences of American stupidity and ignorance since during the ensuing years the Iran military has grown more powerful, particularly within its national borders. The Iranian army is involved in many aspects of the economy and will not tolerate dissent on the part of reformers, even those who are members of the clergy.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told a group of students in Qatar that the Revolutionary Guard Corps was on the road to becoming THE key power factor in government. She denied any intent on the part of her country to attack Iran, but also made clear the US and western nations could not stand by idly and do nothing. As she noted in an accurate description of Iran, “the president, the parliament, is being supplanted and that Iran is moving toward a military dictatorship.”

Will Ahmadinejad Accept Defeat?

Iranians will go to the polls tomorrow to elect a president and most experts believe moderate candidate Hossein Mousavi has increased his lead and is close to obtaining anywhere from fifty percent to up to sixty percent of votes cast. Saeed Lalyaz, a respected political analyst says the evidence displays a surge toward Mousavi, but, “I worry about the impact of any announcement that Ahmadinejad wins in the first round… If Ahmadinejad is president for the second time I worry about another Tiananmen Square experience.” After three weeks of campaigning the powerful Revolutionary Guards have warned that any attemptat a popular “revolution” would be crushed. There are reports that even elements of the military are supporting Mousavi who has promised to extend freedom to the people of Iran.

If Mousavi gains a victory, he must move slowly to reach out to Western efforts of peace. Any immediate response to the Obama offer will anger conservatives. A moderate Iranian leader has to be shrewd and bring about change slowly in order to gain support of those who fear change in their nation.

Iranian Cleric Slams Ahmadinejad

During the past weeks, at least two of the candidates for president of Iran have sharply attacked President Ahmadinejad for his aggressive statements they deem bombastic and not helpful to the future of their nation. Iran’s conservative presidential hopeful, Mohsen Rezai, who once led the radical Revolutionary Guards, described his foe as having language that is “adventurous” and has resulted in three sanctions being imposed which can only serve to halt the nation’s economic development. “I believe the West and the United States need us today. We have to exploit their need to serve our national interests,” emphasized the cleric. He also slammed Ahmadinejad to throwing money around the country as part of his re-election campaign and lacking a coherent economic development policy.

A revolution inevitably calls forth more conservative voices who see the danger of unchecked violence that leads only to destruction of their nation’s resources. It is apparent an increasing number of powerful clerics in Iran want to focus on their nation’s economic development, not their nation’s rhetoric development. This opens the door for peace in the Middle East.

Iran And Hizbullah Vow Revenge

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps commander, Muhammad Ali Jafari, wrote to Hizbullah leader, Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah to express condolences over the death of Imad Mughnyeh and promised “I am convinced that with every passing day Hizbullah’s might is increasing and in the near future, we will witness the disappearance of this cancerous growth Israel by means of Hizbllah fighters’ radiation therapy.” Hughniyeh was regarded as being very close to Iran’s Revolutionary Guards.

The US Director of National Intelligence, Mike mcCaonnell said over the weekend there was evidence groups in Syria or within the Hizbullah were responsible for Hughniyeh’s death. If he really believes that version it once again explains the inept condition of American intelligence. The war of killing leaders and those responsible for what each side terms as “acts of terror” will continue until an overall plan for peace and reconciliation is achieved. The problem is for each leader kiilled at least two or more step into his place and the wars go on.

Iran Rhetoric Escalates

Iran’s top military commander, General Mohammad Ali Jaafari, who heads the Revolutionarty Guards, warned of of retaliation against American military bases in the Gulf region which are located in Arab nations. He told Al-Jazeera that if Iran is attacked it is our “natural right to respond” and it will happen. He admitted such an attack would have serious consequences for Arabs since there are American bases on their terrritory. Meanwhile, Iran’s Foreign Minister Mottaki, warned the UN Security Council of “serious and l ogical consequences” if new sanctions are imposed. He promised to reveal the nature of those consequnces in the coming days.

A proud nation like Iran is almost psychologically required to demonstrate a sense of being able to handle any situation. Unfortunately, Iran’s leaders sometimes do not realize their nation lacks the military capacity to handle modern attacks by heavily armed adversaries. The only nation which has invaded Iran in recent times was Saddam Hussein’s army. American military weapons are somewhat more sophisticated than those of Saddam’s forces. It is time to tone down the rhetoric of defiance and be defiant in a quieter tone of voice.

Dueling War Of Words Between Iran And US

The United States and Iran have become like two men dueling with banjos as to which one can make the loudest sound. For each George Bush action, there is a responding sound of defiance from Iranian officials. In the latest outburst, Mohammad Ali Jafari, head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards uttered threats of retaliation against America. “The enemy knows,” said Jafari, “that if it attacks Iran, it will certainly get stuck in a quagmire much deeper than Iraq and Afghanistan and it will be defeated.” He ended his tirade with a note of defiance, “If enemies prove naive enough to invade Iran, they will be slapped hard.” Bush continues his verbal threats to create uncertainty within Iran as to his next move. On Wednesday, Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns commented that war against Iran was “not inevitable and not desirable.” Russia, standing on the edge of the duelers has made clear its opposition to war, and a Foreign Ministry spokesperson let the United States know, “we don’t support plans for a ‘holy alliance’ against that country.”

Words don’t kill, but words can lead to actions that result in death. It is unfortunate the United States continues gaining a reputation of not merely threatening nations, but of taking actions that result in war not violence. There is some support in the European Union for sanctions, but none for war against Iran. Perhaps, a first step is cooling down the rhetoric and focusing on reaching an agreement that respects the integrity of Iran while avoiding proliferation of atomic weapons.

Iran:We Will Retaliate If Attacked

General Mahmoud Chaharbagh, a top commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, threatened immediate military action if his nation was attacked. “Enemy bases and positions have been identified…The Guards ground force will fire 11,000 rockets into identified enemy positions within the first minute of any aggression against Iranian territory.” Granted, there is typical military hubris in claiming one’s forces are capable of defeating an enemy, but there is scant doubt Iran has missiles and is capable of firing them at American and Israel positions. If one assumes 90% of the rockets are destroyed prior to landing, that still leaves about a thousand missiles crashing into Israel or American positions. If such an attack happened it would invariably result in further American/Israel attacks on Iran, and, most probably, a land invasion. That would be a disaster for America and Israel as well as for the entire Middle East. War with Iran dooms any chance for resolution of the Palestinian/Israel conflict. It would compel many Muslim nations to distance themselves from the United States for fear of antagonizing their population.