European nations are supporting efforts of the Obama administration to end the sale of oil from Iran unless that country agrees to curtail its atomic weapon development. A spokesperson for the Iranian government responded with threats of violence. “If any disruption happens regarding the sale of Iranian oil, the straits of Hormuz will definitely be closed.” Sounds tough, sounds daring, but does it sound realisitic?
If Iran made an effort to block use of the Hormuz waterway, several responses could occur:
1. US military ships might engage those attempts.
2. There might be bombing of any group involved in ending use of the straits.
3. Iran might make a symbolic effort, be forced to end it and return home claiming victory.
Frankly, we believe number three is the best scenario in terms of reality.