Will Turkey Shoot Itself In The Foot?

Turkey’s consideration of a cross border incursion into Iraq in pursuit of Kurdish rebels and its threat to retaliate against a US House of Representative Resolution on the Armenian genocide may well turn out to be a case of shooting oneself in the foot. According to a diplomat quoted in Zaman, these decisions ‘will in the long run affect Turkey’s political and economic reforms, isolating itself from the world.” Prime Minister Erdogan is threatening to retaliate if the Resolution passes, and states “if such an action is chosen, whatever the price, it will be paid” while Chief of the Army, General Buyukrant says America’s action will cause damage “that cannot be repaired.”

Perhaps, it is time for the Turkish government and people to examine long term consequences of hasty actions. An invasion of northern Iraq would result in a dramatic rise in oil prices which will probably infuriate members of the European Union and threaten an invitation to become a member. The United States is quite capable of finding alternative ways to supply its forces in Iraq. IN 1947, the people of France and Great Britain put away their hatred of Germany(a nation that killed thirty million people) and joined with them in peaceful solutions to economic recovery. Making prideful boasts sounds wonderful on Monday, but what happens on Friday when consequences of one’s threats result in action by others? What if Turkey turned the tables on everyone by indicating its desire to appoint a joint Turkish/Armenian committee to investigate past events and develop new educational programs for people in Turkey and Armenia geared towards ending hatred?