The situation in Afghanistan has shifted from a position of what will happen when NATO and American forces depart this year from the country to we now know what will occur when they are gone. President Hamid Karzai is the wrong leader at the wrong time and he intends to rid the country of the necessary forces that just might be able to create a degree of stability. It is now clear he will refuse to allow NATO and American soldiers or even a force of advisers to be around by the end of this year. There are about 373,000 Afghan soldiers but they still lack the necessary training in handling guerrilla forces, let alone the necessary equipment. The Afghan army lacks any air force, particularly attack helicopters which could quickly transport troops from one location to another.
What then are the possibilities for 2014:
1. Afghanistan becomes a nation divided into regional leaders and groups.
2. The Taliban assumes control of a large area of the rural nation.
3. The Afghan government controls the Kabul region and a few other areas.
4. The Afghan army collapses and chaos ensues.